Washington Spirit (W) vs Boston Legacy FC (W)

13 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.5 pp

Washington Spirit (W)

Boston Legacy FC (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.6% DRAW 21.8% AWAY 18.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.1% 1.64 DRAW 23.0% 4.07 AWAY 19.9% 4.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Washington Spirit (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 59.6% win probability, compared with 57.1% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Washington Spirit (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Washington Spirit (W) Boston Legacy FC (W)

Shots 14.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Washington Spirit (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Washington Spirit (W) Boston Legacy FC (W)

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Washington Spirit (W) Boston Legacy FC (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Washington Spirit (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Washington Spirit (W) ↑ +0.13 (+8.7%)

Boston Legacy FC (W) ↓ -0.68 (-12.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.