FC Telavi vs FC Samtredia

07 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.7 pp

FC Telavi

FC Samtredia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.0% DRAW 27.6% AWAY 24.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.2% 1.80 DRAW 27.1% 3.40 AWAY 21.7% 4.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Samtredia relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 24.4% win probability, compared with 21.7% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Samtredia has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Telavi FC Samtredia

Shots 8.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours FC Samtredia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Telavi FC Samtredia

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 2.0

FC Samtredia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Telavi FC Samtredia

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Samtredia.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Telavi = (0.0%)

FC Samtredia = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.