Jerv vs Brattvåg

13 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Jerv

Brattvåg

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.9% DRAW 21.2% AWAY 22.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.8% 1.80 DRAW 22.5% 4.22 AWAY 24.6% 3.87

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Jerv relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 55.9% win probability, compared with 52.8% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Jerv

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Jerv Brattvåg

Shots 17.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 10.8 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Jerv Brattvåg

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Jerv has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Jerv Brattvåg

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Jerv ↓ -0.12 (-6.3%)

Brattvåg ↑ +0.34 (+9.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.