Dinamo Tbilisi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli

10 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Dinamo Tbilisi

Meshakhte Tkibuli

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 71.4% DRAW 16.1% AWAY 12.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 69.0% 1.40 DRAW 17.6% 5.50 AWAY 13.4% 7.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Dinamo Tbilisi has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dinamo Tbilisi Meshakhte Tkibuli

Shots 9.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Dinamo Tbilisi, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dinamo Tbilisi Meshakhte Tkibuli

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.0

Dinamo Tbilisi has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dinamo Tbilisi Meshakhte Tkibuli

The combined recent performance profile favours Dinamo Tbilisi.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Dinamo Tbilisi ↑ +0.10 (+8.0%)

Meshakhte Tkibuli ↓ -1.50 (-17.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.