Træff vs Notodden

13 Sep 2026 · 13:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.4 pp

Træff

Notodden

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.6% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 42.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.5% 2.58 DRAW 27.6% 3.32 AWAY 36.9% 2.48

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Notodden clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 42.3% win probability, compared with 36.9% implied by the market. The 5.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Notodden has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Træff Notodden

Shots 11.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 15.0 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Notodden, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Træff Notodden

Shots allowed 18.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Notodden has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Træff Notodden

The combined recent performance profile favours Notodden.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Træff ↓ -0.28 (-9.8%)

Notodden ↑ +0.24 (+10.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.