Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Gagra

14 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Dinamo Tbilisi

FC Gagra

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.4% DRAW 25.8% AWAY 20.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.2% 1.67 DRAW 25.6% 3.60 AWAY 19.2% 4.79

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Gagra

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dinamo Tbilisi FC Gagra

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 14.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours FC Gagra, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dinamo Tbilisi FC Gagra

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dinamo Tbilisi FC Gagra

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Dinamo Tbilisi ↑ +0.12 (+7.5%)

FC Gagra ↓ -0.93 (-16.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.