Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali

14 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Torpedo Kutaisi

Samgurali

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.2% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 24.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.1% 1.94 DRAW 26.7% 3.50 AWAY 25.2% 3.72

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Torpedo Kutaisi

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Torpedo Kutaisi Samgurali

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 9.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Torpedo Kutaisi Samgurali

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Torpedo Kutaisi Samgurali

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Torpedo Kutaisi ↑ +0.22 (+12.5%)

Samgurali ↓ -0.09 (-2.2%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.