Samgurali vs Dila Gori

09 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Samgurali

Dila Gori

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.5% DRAW 30.1% AWAY 41.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.9% 3.02 DRAW 30.1% 3.10 AWAY 38.9% 2.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Dila Gori

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Samgurali Dila Gori

Shots 8.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 13.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Samgurali Dila Gori

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Dila Gori has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Samgurali Dila Gori

The combined recent performance profile favours Dila Gori.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Samgurali ↑ +0.16 (+5.6%)

Dila Gori ↑ +0.14 (+6.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.