FC Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi

10 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

FC Gagra

Torpedo Kutaisi

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.3% DRAW 28.5% AWAY 42.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.5% 3.39 DRAW 28.3% 3.30 AWAY 44.2% 2.11

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Torpedo Kutaisi

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Gagra Torpedo Kutaisi

Shots 12.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 12.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Gagra Torpedo Kutaisi

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 6.0

FC Gagra has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Gagra Torpedo Kutaisi

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FC Gagra ↓ -0.53 (-13.4%)

Torpedo Kutaisi ↑ +0.28 (+15.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.