FC Spaeri vs Dila Gori

21 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.7 pp

FC Spaeri

Dila Gori

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.9% DRAW 27.1% AWAY 36.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.2% 2.90 DRAW 27.3% 3.43 AWAY 40.5% 2.31

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Spaeri relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 35.9% win probability, compared with 32.2% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: FC Spaeri

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Spaeri Dila Gori

Shots 11.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Spaeri Dila Gori

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.8

FC Spaeri has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Spaeri Dila Gori

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Spaeri.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Spaeri ↓ -0.12 (-3.8%)

Dila Gori ↑ +0.15 (+6.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.