Stord vs Fana

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.2 pp

Stord

Fana

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.9% DRAW 21.5% AWAY 42.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.7% 2.87 DRAW 22.4% 4.20 AWAY 44.9% 2.09

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Stord relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 35.9% win probability, compared with 32.7% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Stord has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Stord Fana

Shots 4.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 4.0 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Stord Fana

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Stord has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Stord Fana

The combined recent performance profile favours Stord.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Stord ↓ -0.35 (-10.9%)

Fana ↑ +0.32 (+17.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.