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South Korea K League 2 · KR

Gimpo FC vs Gimhae FC 2008

24 Oct 2026 · 09:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Gimpo FC. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. They have faced considerably more attempts than they have produced.

The visitors have struggled to obtain positive results. Finding the net has been a recurring difficulty. Their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.73 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.77. At this price, a home win for Gimpo FC does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Gimpo FC
STOCHASTICBET 56.4%
PINNACLE 55.0% odd 1.73
DIFFERENCE +1.4 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 24.4%
PINNACLE 24.7% odd 3.85
DIFFERENCE -0.3 pp
AWAY
Gimhae FC 2008
STOCHASTICBET 19.3%
PINNACLE 20.3% odd 4.69
DIFFERENCE -1.0 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 24 Oct 2026 · 00:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Gimpo FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output
Gimpo FC Gimhae FC 2008
Shots 9.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 6.3 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Gimpo FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Gimpo FC Gimhae FC 2008
Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Gimhae FC 2008 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Gimpo FC Gimhae FC 2008

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-24 00:03:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.30 pp +0.62 pp
DRAW +0.26 pp -0.66 pp
AWAY -0.56 pp +0.04 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.41 pp +0.62 pp
DRAW +0.20 pp -0.66 pp
AWAY -0.61 pp +0.04 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: South Korea K League 2 · 160 matches with scores · 159 with shots · coverage 99.4%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Gimpo FC6 matches · 5 home / 1 away
WLWDLL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Gimhae FC 20086 matches · 4 home / 2 away
LDLLDL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Gimpo FCHome team
−0.28.5 actual
Gimhae FC 2008Away team
−2.56.2 actual
Gimpo FC: 8.5 · league average 8.7 · 6 valid matchesGimhae FC 2008: 6.2 · league average 8.7 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Gimpo FCHome team
+3.812.5 actual
Gimhae FC 2008Away team
−1.57.2 actual
Gimpo FC: 12.5 · league average 8.7 · 6 valid matchesGimhae FC 2008: 7.2 · league average 8.7 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Gimpo FCHome team
−0.33.3 actual
Gimhae FC 2008Away team
−1.91.7 actual
Gimpo FC: 3.3 · league average 3.6 · 6 valid matchesGimhae FC 2008: 1.7 · league average 3.6 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Gimpo FCHome team
+1.95.3 actual
Gimhae FC 2008Away team
+1.24.7 actual
Gimpo FC: 5.3 · league average 3.5 · 6 valid matchesGimhae FC 2008: 4.7 · league average 3.5 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Gimpo FCHome team
+0.111.50 actual
Gimhae FC 2008Away team
−0.530.83 actual
Gimpo FC: 1.50 · league average 1.39 · 6 valid matchesGimhae FC 2008: 0.83 · league average 1.36 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Gimpo FCHome team
+1.6 pp17.7% actual
Gimhae FC 2008Away team
−2.1 pp13.5% actual
Gimpo FC: 17.7% · league average 16.1% · 6 valid matchesGimhae FC 2008: 13.5% · league average 15.6% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Gimpo FCHome team
−1.0 pp13.3% actual
Gimhae FC 2008Away team
+22.5 pp37.2% actual
Gimpo FC: 13.3% · league average 14.3% · 6 valid matchesGimhae FC 2008: 37.2% · league average 14.7% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Gimpo FC · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
17/10/2026Home4–111 / 186 / 8
09/10/2026Home0–17 / 182 / 5
19/09/2026Home1–09 / 104 / 4
13/09/2026Away2–211 / 114 / 5
06/09/2026Home1–26 / 52 / 3
29/08/2026Home1–47 / 132 / 7
Gimhae FC 2008 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Away2–65 / 103 / 10
10/10/2026Home1–17 / 72 / 4
20/09/2026Home0–29 / 50 / 3
13/09/2026Away0–24 / 81 / 4
05/09/2026Home2–25 / 62 / 2
30/08/2026Home0–37 / 72 / 5

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.