Ansan Greeners FC vs Hwaseong FC

12 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.8 pp

Ansan Greeners FC

Hwaseong FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 16.6% DRAW 21.2% AWAY 62.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.2% 5.23 DRAW 22.3% 4.26 AWAY 59.5% 1.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Hwaseong FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 62.3% win probability, compared with 59.5% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Hwaseong FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ansan Greeners FC Hwaseong FC

Shots 4.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 11.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Hwaseong FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ansan Greeners FC Hwaseong FC

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Hwaseong FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ansan Greeners FC Hwaseong FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Hwaseong FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ansan Greeners FC ↑ +0.12 (+2.3%)

Hwaseong FC ↑ +0.02 (+1.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.