Rana FK vs Lørenskog

13 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.4 pp

Rana FK

Lørenskog

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.3% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 27.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.9% 2.00 DRAW 24.3% 3.78 AWAY 29.8% 3.08

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Rana FK relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.3% win probability, compared with 45.9% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Rana FK

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rana FK Lørenskog

Shots 6.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 7.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rana FK Lørenskog

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 7.5

Rana FK has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rana FK Lørenskog

The combined recent performance profile favours Rana FK.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Rana FK ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

Lørenskog = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.