Follo vs Tromsdalen

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Follo

Tromsdalen

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.0% DRAW 21.0% AWAY 52.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.7% 3.80 DRAW 21.5% 4.36 AWAY 53.8% 1.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Follo

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Follo Tromsdalen

Shots 11.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 5.0 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Follo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Follo Tromsdalen

Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 8.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 6.3

Tromsdalen has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Follo Tromsdalen

The combined recent performance profile favours Follo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Follo ↑ +0.10 (+2.7%)

Tromsdalen ↓ -0.04 (-2.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.