Grei vs FK Union Carl Berner

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Grei

FK Union Carl Berner

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.7% DRAW 18.6% AWAY 59.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.7% 4.31 DRAW 19.7% 4.75 AWAY 58.6% 1.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

FK Union Carl Berner has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Grei FK Union Carl Berner

Shots 5.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours FK Union Carl Berner, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Grei FK Union Carl Berner

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 3.8

FK Union Carl Berner has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Grei FK Union Carl Berner

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Union Carl Berner.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Grei ↑ +0.02 (+0.3%)

FK Union Carl Berner ↓ -0.02 (-1.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.