Ullern vs Asker

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.1 pp

Ullern

Asker

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 10.7% DRAW 17.8% AWAY 71.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 12.4% 7.80 DRAW 19.3% 5.00 AWAY 68.4% 1.41

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Asker relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 71.5% win probability, compared with 68.4% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Asker has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ullern Asker

Shots 8.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 16.0 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Asker, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ullern Asker

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Asker has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ullern Asker

The combined recent performance profile favours Asker.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ullern ↑ +0.32 (+4.3%)

Asker ↑ +0.11 (+8.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.