FK Union Carl Berner vs Frigg

26 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

FK Union Carl Berner

Frigg

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.3% DRAW 21.8% AWAY 30.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.4% 2.02 DRAW 22.8% 4.20 AWAY 29.8% 3.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: FK Union Carl Berner

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Union Carl Berner Frigg

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 9.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Frigg, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Union Carl Berner Frigg

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Union Carl Berner Frigg

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FK Union Carl Berner ↓ -0.18 (-8.2%)

Frigg ↑ +0.83 (+34.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.