Levanger vs Follo

12 Sep 2026 · 12:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.9 pp

Levanger

Follo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 83.5% DRAW 10.6% AWAY 5.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 79.6% 1.25 DRAW 12.9% 7.74 AWAY 7.5% 13.18

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Levanger relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 83.5% win probability, compared with 79.6% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Levanger has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Levanger Follo

Shots 17.8 · On target 9.0 Shots 10.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Levanger, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Levanger Follo

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Levanger has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Levanger Follo

The combined recent performance profile favours Levanger.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Levanger ↓ -0.04 (-3.3%)

Follo ↑ +1.50 (+13.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.