Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs Union Espanola

05 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Club Deportes Santa Cruz

Union Espanola

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.8% DRAW 27.8% AWAY 31.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.2% 2.30 DRAW 28.0% 3.30 AWAY 31.9% 2.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Club Deportes Santa Cruz

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club Deportes Santa Cruz Union Espanola

Shots 9.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 7.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club Deportes Santa Cruz Union Espanola

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 6.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club Deportes Santa Cruz Union Espanola

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Club Deportes Santa Cruz ↓ -0.26 (-10.4%)

Union Espanola ↑ +0.50 (+19.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.