San Marcos De Arica vs Curico Unido

13 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp

San Marcos De Arica

Curico Unido

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.9% DRAW 28.1% AWAY 24.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.0% 1.82 DRAW 27.5% 3.37 AWAY 21.5% 4.31

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Curico Unido

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

San Marcos De Arica Curico Unido

Shots 11.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 17.5 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Curico Unido, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

San Marcos De Arica Curico Unido

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

San Marcos De Arica Curico Unido

The combined recent performance profile favours Curico Unido.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

San Marcos De Arica ↓ -0.09 (-4.8%)

Curico Unido ↑ +0.36 (+9.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.