Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs Deportes Recoleta

14 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Club Deportes Santa Cruz

Deportes Recoleta

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.4% DRAW 28.9% AWAY 34.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.6% 2.60 DRAW 28.9% 3.20 AWAY 35.6% 2.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the home side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Recoleta

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Recoleta

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Recoleta

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Club Deportes Santa Cruz ↑ +0.53 (+25.6%)

Deportes Recoleta ↓ -0.81 (-23.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.