San Marcos De Arica vs Deportes Copiapo

06 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

San Marcos De Arica

Deportes Copiapo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.0% DRAW 28.9% AWAY 24.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.7% 1.93 DRAW 28.5% 3.30 AWAY 22.8% 4.13

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Deportes Copiapo

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

San Marcos De Arica Deportes Copiapo

Shots 6.8 · On target 1.8 Shots 16.0 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Deportes Copiapo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

San Marcos De Arica Deportes Copiapo

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.3

San Marcos De Arica has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

San Marcos De Arica Deportes Copiapo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

San Marcos De Arica ↓ -0.07 (-3.5%)

Deportes Copiapo ↑ +0.43 (+11.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.