IF Fuglafjordur vs FC Hoyvik

04 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

IF Fuglafjordur

FC Hoyvik

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.9% DRAW 20.0% AWAY 21.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.4% 1.75 DRAW 21.5% 4.50 AWAY 23.1% 4.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for IF Fuglafjordur relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 58.9% win probability, compared with 55.4% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

IF Fuglafjordur has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

IF Fuglafjordur FC Hoyvik

Shots 8.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 4.8 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours IF Fuglafjordur, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

IF Fuglafjordur FC Hoyvik

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

IF Fuglafjordur FC Hoyvik

The combined recent performance profile favours IF Fuglafjordur.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

IF Fuglafjordur ↑ +0.22 (+14.2%)

FC Hoyvik = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.