Orlando City II vs Toronto FC II

14 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Orlando City II

Toronto FC II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.6% DRAW 23.7% AWAY 35.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.9% 2.28 DRAW 24.5% 3.90 AWAY 33.7% 2.83

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Toronto FC II has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Orlando City II Toronto FC II

Shots 8.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 11.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Toronto FC II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Orlando City II Toronto FC II

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Orlando City II Toronto FC II

The combined recent performance profile favours Toronto FC II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Orlando City II ↑ +0.04 (+1.9%)

Toronto FC II ↓ -0.07 (-2.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.