New York Red Bulls II vs FC Cincinnati II

14 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

New York Red Bulls II

FC Cincinnati II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 72.1% DRAW 15.1% AWAY 12.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 70.2% 1.33 DRAW 16.5% 5.67 AWAY 13.3% 7.06

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Cincinnati II

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

New York Red Bulls II FC Cincinnati II

Shots 14.0 · On target 7.3 Shots 15.3 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

New York Red Bulls II FC Cincinnati II

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 6.8

New York Red Bulls II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

New York Red Bulls II FC Cincinnati II

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

New York Red Bulls II = (0.0%)

FC Cincinnati II ↑ +0.71 (+8.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.