New York City FC II vs New York Red Bulls II

08 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.8 pp

New York City FC II

New York Red Bulls II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.4% DRAW 20.6% AWAY 48.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.0% 2.97 DRAW 21.9% 4.33 AWAY 46.1% 2.06

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for New York Red Bulls II relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 48.9% win probability, compared with 46.1% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

New York Red Bulls II has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

New York City FC II New York Red Bulls II

Shots 12.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 14.0 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

New York City FC II New York Red Bulls II

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.3

New York Red Bulls II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

New York City FC II New York Red Bulls II

The combined recent performance profile favours New York Red Bulls II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

New York City FC II ↓ -0.08 (-3.1%)

New York Red Bulls II ↓ -0.04 (-1.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.