North Texas SC vs Houston Dynamo II

14 Sep 2026 · 02:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

North Texas SC

Houston Dynamo II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.9% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 37.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.5% 2.75 DRAW 25.2% 3.77 AWAY 40.4% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for North Texas SC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 37.9% win probability, compared with 34.5% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

North Texas SC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

North Texas SC Houston Dynamo II

Shots 11.3 · On target 6.0 Shots 10.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours North Texas SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

North Texas SC Houston Dynamo II

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.5

North Texas SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

North Texas SC Houston Dynamo II

The combined recent performance profile favours North Texas SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

North Texas SC ↑ +0.13 (+4.8%)

Houston Dynamo II ↓ -0.03 (-1.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.