North Texas SC vs Houston Dynamo II

10 Sep 2026 · 02:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

North Texas SC

Houston Dynamo II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.8% DRAW 24.3% AWAY 36.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.2% 2.56 DRAW 25.0% 3.71 AWAY 38.8% 2.39

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for North Texas SC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 38.8% win probability, compared with 36.2% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

North Texas SC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

North Texas SC Houston Dynamo II

Shots 13.3 · On target 6.3 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

North Texas SC Houston Dynamo II

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.8

North Texas SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

North Texas SC Houston Dynamo II

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

North Texas SC ↑ +0.16 (+6.7%)

Houston Dynamo II ↓ -0.01 (-0.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.