Sporting Kansas City II vs St Louis City II

06 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Sporting Kansas City II

St Louis City II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.6% DRAW 22.5% AWAY 55.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.5% 4.22 DRAW 23.1% 4.10 AWAY 54.4% 1.74

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sporting Kansas City II

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sporting Kansas City II St Louis City II

Shots 10.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 4.5 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Sporting Kansas City II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sporting Kansas City II St Louis City II

Shots allowed 17.5 · On target allowed 8.3 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.0

St Louis City II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sporting Kansas City II St Louis City II

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sporting Kansas City II ↑ +0.14 (+3.3%)

St Louis City II ↓ -0.01 (-0.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.