The Town vs Tacoma Defiance

06 Sep 2026 · 04:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

The Town

Tacoma Defiance

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.8% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 25.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.6% 1.91 DRAW 24.0% 4.02 AWAY 25.3% 3.82

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tacoma Defiance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

The Town Tacoma Defiance

Shots 7.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 8.5 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Tacoma Defiance, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

The Town Tacoma Defiance

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 6.5

The Town has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

The Town Tacoma Defiance

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

The Town ↑ +0.16 (+9.1%)

Tacoma Defiance ↑ +0.05 (+1.2%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.