Australia Victoria Premier League 1 · AU

Melbourne Victory NPL vs Port Melbourne SC

30 Aug 2026 · 07:00

MARKET CONSENSUS

Strong Home Lean

Home 79.8%

Draw 11.3%

Away 8.9%

Consensus based on 4 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 68.4 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Melbourne Victory NPL Port Melbourne SC

Recent attacking output favours Melbourne Victory NPL, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Melbourne Victory NPL Port Melbourne SC

Melbourne Victory NPL has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Melbourne Victory NPL Port Melbourne SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Melbourne Victory NPL.

	Melbourne Victory NPL	Port Melbourne SC
Shots / match	11.0	4.8
On target / match	7.3	2.3

	Melbourne Victory NPL	Port Melbourne SC
Shots allowed / match	12.5	15.3
On target allowed / match	4.0	6.3

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Melbourne Victory NPL ↑ +0.03 (+2.6%)

Port Melbourne SC ↑ +2.00 (+19.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Performance4 -1.898

Shot rating 36

Shots-on-target rating 29

Qualified model signal None

INTERPRETATION

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.