New York City FC II vs CT United

13 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

New York City FC II

CT United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.9% DRAW 22.8% AWAY 41.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.6% 2.70 DRAW 23.6% 3.95 AWAY 41.8% 2.23

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: New York City FC II

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

New York City FC II CT United

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 8.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

New York City FC II CT United

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.5

CT United has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

New York City FC II CT United

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

New York City FC II ↑ +0.15 (+5.9%)

CT United ↓ -0.13 (-5.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.