FC Levadia Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare

09 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

FC Levadia Tallinn

FC Kuressaare

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 85.3% DRAW 10.3% AWAY 4.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 84.0% 1.15 DRAW 11.4% 8.50 AWAY 4.6% 20.84

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

FC Levadia Tallinn has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Levadia Tallinn FC Kuressaare

Shots 16.8 · On target 9.3 Shots 16.3 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Levadia Tallinn FC Kuressaare

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.5

FC Levadia Tallinn has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Levadia Tallinn FC Kuressaare

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Levadia Tallinn.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Levadia Tallinn ↑ +0.05 (+4.5%)

FC Kuressaare ↑ +4.84 (+30.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.