JK Tammeka Tartu vs Paide Linnameeskond

09 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

JK Tammeka Tartu

Paide Linnameeskond

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.2% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 47.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.3% 3.40 DRAW 24.0% 4.01 AWAY 47.8% 2.01

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Paide Linnameeskond

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

JK Tammeka Tartu Paide Linnameeskond

Shots 9.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 13.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Paide Linnameeskond, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

JK Tammeka Tartu Paide Linnameeskond

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.5

JK Tammeka Tartu has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

JK Tammeka Tartu Paide Linnameeskond

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

JK Tammeka Tartu ↓ -0.63 (-15.6%)

Paide Linnameeskond ↑ +0.29 (+16.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.