FC Flora Tallinn vs JK Nomme Kalju

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

FC Flora Tallinn

JK Nomme Kalju

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.7% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 41.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.9% 2.88 DRAW 26.7% 3.55 AWAY 40.4% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: JK Nomme Kalju

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Flora Tallinn JK Nomme Kalju

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 14.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours JK Nomme Kalju, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Flora Tallinn JK Nomme Kalju

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 6.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Flora Tallinn JK Nomme Kalju

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Flora Tallinn ↑ +0.39 (+15.7%)

JK Nomme Kalju ↓ -0.10 (-4.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.