Paide Linnameeskond vs Harju JK Laagri

13 Sep 2026 · 13:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Paide Linnameeskond

Harju JK Laagri

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.8% DRAW 21.6% AWAY 20.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.2% 1.60 DRAW 22.2% 4.20 AWAY 19.6% 4.76

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Paide Linnameeskond

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Paide Linnameeskond Harju JK Laagri

Shots 12.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 11.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Paide Linnameeskond Harju JK Laagri

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Harju JK Laagri has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Paide Linnameeskond Harju JK Laagri

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Paide Linnameeskond ↑ +0.12 (+8.2%)

Harju JK Laagri ↓ -0.57 (-10.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.