Parnu JK Vaprus vs Harju JK Laagri

09 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Parnu JK Vaprus

Harju JK Laagri

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.7% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 35.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.8% 2.49 DRAW 25.3% 3.71 AWAY 36.9% 2.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Parnu JK Vaprus

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Parnu JK Vaprus Harju JK Laagri

Shots 11.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Parnu JK Vaprus, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Parnu JK Vaprus Harju JK Laagri

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Parnu JK Vaprus Harju JK Laagri

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Parnu JK Vaprus ↓ -0.11 (-4.2%)

Harju JK Laagri ↑ +0.31 (+13.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.