Australia NPL Victoria Women · AU

South Melbourne (W) vs Essendon Royals (W)

30 Aug 2026 · 07:00

MARKET CONSENSUS

Away Lean

Home 32.8%

Draw 25.7%

Away 41.5%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 8.8 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

South Melbourne (W) Essendon Royals (W)

Recent attacking output favours Essendon Royals (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

South Melbourne (W) Essendon Royals (W)

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

South Melbourne (W) Essendon Royals (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Essendon Royals (W).

	South Melbourne (W)	Essendon Royals (W)
Shots / match	10.5	12.0
On target / match	3.0	7.8

	South Melbourne (W)	Essendon Royals (W)
Shots allowed / match	4.3	6.5
On target allowed / match	3.3	2.3

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

South Melbourne (W) ↓ -1.20 (-29.9%)

Essendon Royals (W) ↑ +0.59 (+36.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Performance4 -0.618

Shot rating 3

Shots-on-target rating -23

Qualified model signal None

INTERPRETATION

Market and recent performance do not provide a clear common direction.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.