Nasaf Qarshi vs FC Bunyodkor

09 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Nasaf Qarshi

FC Bunyodkor

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.9% DRAW 18.2% AWAY 10.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 69.7% 1.34 DRAW 19.0% 4.91 AWAY 11.3% 8.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Nasaf Qarshi

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nasaf Qarshi FC Bunyodkor

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 8.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Nasaf Qarshi, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nasaf Qarshi FC Bunyodkor

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nasaf Qarshi FC Bunyodkor

The combined recent performance profile favours Nasaf Qarshi.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Nasaf Qarshi ↓ -0.14 (-9.7%)

FC Bunyodkor ↑ +2.49 (+42.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.