Osterlen FF vs IFK Karlshamn

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +6.0 pp

Osterlen FF

IFK Karlshamn

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.2% DRAW 20.2% AWAY 16.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.2% 1.60 DRAW 22.3% 4.10 AWAY 20.5% 4.46

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Osterlen FF clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.2% win probability, compared with 57.2% implied by the market. The 6.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Osterlen FF

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Osterlen FF IFK Karlshamn

Shots 10.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Osterlen FF IFK Karlshamn

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 7.5

Osterlen FF has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Osterlen FF IFK Karlshamn

The combined recent performance profile favours Osterlen FF.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Osterlen FF ↑ +0.01 (+0.6%)

IFK Karlshamn ↑ +0.04 (+0.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.