Herrestads AIF vs IF Karlstad II

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.4 pp

Herrestads AIF

IF Karlstad II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 65.2% DRAW 18.3% AWAY 16.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.8% 1.42 DRAW 19.9% 4.40 AWAY 18.3% 4.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Herrestads AIF relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 65.2% win probability, compared with 61.8% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Herrestads AIF has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Herrestads AIF IF Karlstad II

Shots 8.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Herrestads AIF, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Herrestads AIF IF Karlstad II

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Herrestads AIF has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Herrestads AIF IF Karlstad II

The combined recent performance profile favours Herrestads AIF.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Herrestads AIF = (0.0%)

IF Karlstad II = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.