Astorps FF vs Qviding FIF

13 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

Astorps FF

Qviding FIF

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.1% DRAW 22.1% AWAY 26.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.3% 1.98 DRAW 23.3% 4.10 AWAY 28.4% 3.36

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Astorps FF relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.1% win probability, compared with 48.3% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Astorps FF has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Astorps FF Qviding FIF

Shots 12.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 9.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Astorps FF Qviding FIF

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Astorps FF Qviding FIF

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Astorps FF ↓ -0.18 (-8.3%)

Qviding FIF ↑ +0.67 (+24.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.