Västra Frölunda IF vs Onsala BK

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE AWAY +6.9 pp

Västra Frölunda IF

Onsala BK

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.3% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 35.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.9% 2.02 DRAW 23.6% 4.10 AWAY 28.5% 3.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Onsala BK substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 35.4% win probability, compared with 28.5% implied by the market. The 6.9 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Onsala BK has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Västra Frölunda IF Onsala BK

Shots 6.0 · On target 0.8 Shots 14.8 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Onsala BK, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Västra Frölunda IF Onsala BK

Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Onsala BK has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Västra Frölunda IF Onsala BK

The combined recent performance profile favours Onsala BK.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Västra Frölunda IF ↑ +0.05 (+2.5%)

Onsala BK ↑ +0.47 (+16.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.