Lunds BK vs Kristianstad FC

25 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

Lunds BK

Kristianstad FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.6% DRAW 20.4% AWAY 15.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.0% 1.58 DRAW 21.7% 4.43 AWAY 17.3% 5.57

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Lunds BK relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.6% win probability, compared with 61.0% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Lunds BK has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lunds BK Kristianstad FC

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 7.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Lunds BK, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lunds BK Kristianstad FC

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lunds BK Kristianstad FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Lunds BK.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Lunds BK ↓ -0.06 (-3.7%)

Kristianstad FC ↑ +1.10 (+24.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.