Sweden 1.div Norra · SE

IF Karlstad Fotboll vs Umeå FC

08 Nov 2026 · 15:00

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for an away win for Umeå FC. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 3.04 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 3.32. At this price, an away win for Umeå FC does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE

HOME

IF Karlstad Fotboll

STOCHASTICBET 48.6%

PINNACLE 49.5% odd 1.81

DIFFERENCE -0.8 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 21.2%

PINNACLE 21.2% odd 4.22

DIFFERENCE +0.0 pp

AWAY MODEL > MARKET

Umeå FC

STOCHASTICBET 30.2%

PINNACLE 29.4% odd 3.04

DIFFERENCE +0.8 pp

STOCHASTICBET

PINNACLE MARKET

Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 13:01

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: IF Karlstad Fotboll

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

IF Karlstad Fotboll Umeå FC

Shots 16.3 · On target 6.3 Shots 16.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

IF Karlstad Fotboll Umeå FC

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Umeå FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

IF Karlstad Fotboll Umeå FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Umeå FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.