FC Arlanda vs Hammarby TFF

21 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

FC Arlanda

Hammarby TFF

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.3% DRAW 23.7% AWAY 54.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.7% 4.19 DRAW 24.3% 3.91 AWAY 53.1% 1.79

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Hammarby TFF

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Arlanda Hammarby TFF

Shots 11.3 · On target 6.0 Shots 11.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours FC Arlanda, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Arlanda Hammarby TFF

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Hammarby TFF has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Arlanda Hammarby TFF

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Arlanda ↑ +0.66 (+18.5%)

Hammarby TFF ↓ -0.07 (-3.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.