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Sweden 1.div Norra · SE

Umeå FC vs FC Stockholm Internazionale

13 Sep 2026 · 13:00
NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp
Umeå FC
FC Stockholm Internazionale
HOME 18.4% DRAW 21.4% AWAY 60.2%
HOME 17.7% 5.30 DRAW 21.8% 4.31 AWAY 60.5% 1.55

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Umeå FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Umeå FC FC Stockholm Internazionale
Shots 13.3 · On target 6.3 Shots 13.0 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Umeå FC FC Stockholm Internazionale
Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.5

FC Stockholm Internazionale has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Umeå FC FC Stockholm Internazionale

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Umeå FC ↓ -0.70 (-11.7%)
FC Stockholm Internazionale ↑ +0.15 (+10.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.