Utsiktens BK vs Jonkopings Sodra

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.5 pp

Utsiktens BK

Jonkopings Sodra

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 12.3% DRAW 20.0% AWAY 67.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 13.7% 6.88 DRAW 21.2% 4.46 AWAY 65.1% 1.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Jonkopings Sodra relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 67.6% win probability, compared with 65.1% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Utsiktens BK

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Utsiktens BK Jonkopings Sodra

Shots 10.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 9.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Utsiktens BK, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Utsiktens BK Jonkopings Sodra

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 9.3 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 1.8

Jonkopings Sodra has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Utsiktens BK Jonkopings Sodra

The combined recent performance profile favours Jonkopings Sodra.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Utsiktens BK ↑ +1.38 (+25.1%)

Jonkopings Sodra ↓ -0.03 (-2.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.