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Sweden 1.div Södra · SE

Jonkopings Sodra vs Skövde AIK

21 Sep 2026 · 19:00
NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp
Jonkopings Sodra
Skövde AIK
HOME 60.4% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 16.2%
HOME 59.4% 1.60 DRAW 23.9% 3.97 AWAY 16.7% 5.69

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Skövde AIK

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Jonkopings Sodra Skövde AIK
Shots 8.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Skövde AIK, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Jonkopings Sodra Skövde AIK
Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Jonkopings Sodra has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Jonkopings Sodra Skövde AIK

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Jonkopings Sodra = (0.0%)
Skövde AIK ↑ +0.87 (+18.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.